LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come into this Saturdays game with statement successes.
LSU beat against the Longhorns in week 2 and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp last weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take over a spot in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. This contains the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar , the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 grading shield keep this near? Or will Burrow as well as the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling up and also win the bet? Here is the breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in the skill of Burrow . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is an actual presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that can fill the place. It is all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitions of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida now sits in 33rd, even though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of all Burrows caliber. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will even face a, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as best pass-rusher coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing line, while his consciousness need to improve from the pocket. Auburns according is arguably the finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is now 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not out of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to develop big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most often regarded as DBU for the talent they have on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not longer, in 2019.
Would probably soon be Kristian Fulton, that allowed the least amount of first downs out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is now 69th in passing yards it will be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be as crucial as for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this year, going yet. broke a tackle at the point on his approach. Despite that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed from the Kentucky match.
It puts ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile atmosphere Should they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned respect following last week from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley, I really do see this sport remaining many.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, and Burrow is just one of the QBs in the FBS. But LSU is not likely to put up 45 or anything close to that. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the staff has relied on them far too much to alter the wave in matches the Gators defense will probably work out with time. Marco Wilson will be the subject against the physical Chase or Jefferson into a late-game PIs.
However, I dont expect this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the proper wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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